预测

 

One Forecast for You and Your Trading Partners… Simple, Elegant, Effective

One Network’s 聪明的需求 forecasting service employs a groundbreaking approach that can only be found in the 实时价值网络™. It has been proven to deliver industry-leading forecast accuracy and award-winning in-stock levels while eliminating forecast bias and reducing inventories to near theoretical minimums.

此外, it minimizes information lead times within supply networks and enables all trading partners to share a “single version of truth” in real time. It is a simple, yet elegant approach that has driven incredible results for One Network customers.


  We knew we needed to find a way to deliver more value to our customers and trading partners while reducing inventory and operations costs. We’ve chosen One Network because of its unique and highly innovative technology.  

-材料全球总监 & 物流,黛娜


The service achieves this by forecasting shelf off-take at the SKU/Store/Day level and automatically calculating time-phased 补充 requirements for all participants in the supply network—including retailers, 品牌所有者, 制造商, 和物流供应商.

These time-phased order requirements are based on physical lead times, 目标库存, 并在每个节点上确定服务水平. 此外, One Network’s patented “Continuous Forecast 管理” algorithm makes automatic short-term adjustments to consumption point forecasts in near real-time in response to systemic changes to demand.

今天的供应链运转不良. Each trading partner typically creates its own forecast based on stale data (e.g. 过去装运或出售的货物), and at best they adjust their operational forecast monthly or weekly.

这种方法是不可取的,原因如下:首先, shipment data is not an accurate representation of consumer demand given that it is distorted by inventory in the supply network and by lead times (both physical and informational); second, manual processes and system delays enter each successive upstream forecast, guaranteeing increasingly stale demand and inaccurate forecasts; finally, multiple and conflicting forecasts make coordination and 协作 among trading partners manually intensive.

这种功能障碍的结果是什么? 服务水平差,库存高. It’s the classic “bull-whip effect” problem that supply chain management has spent decades trying to solve without success. 直到现在.

需求信号储存库一瞥

  • >20% increased forecast accuracy (Item/DC Level)
  • 消除了80%的预测偏差
  • >98% store in-stock
  • 27%库存减少

概览预测

  • 高度准确: A single demand forecast at the point of consumption is computed into time-phased order requirements for all trading partners in the supply network
  • 实时决策: Continuous Forecast 管理 makes automatic short-term adjustments to the consumption level forecasts during your execution window based on differences between the forecast and what the end consumer is actually buying
  • 颗粒: 管理门店/日/SKU级别
  • 简单: Delivered via single cloud-based system accessible with a web browser and synchronized to you and your trading partners’ enterprise management systems
  • 经过验证的好处: Award-winning service levels and dramatic reductions in inventory across the supply network

智能需求的资源

网络研讨会:需求感知革命

An inside look at how a major consumer products company is using demand sensing at one of the world's biggest retailers.

现在的观点

需求感应

How to use a highly accurate forecast of near-term demand to drive up perfect orders while using much less inventory.

现在的观点

你的供应网络真的是货架连接的吗?

一个方便的“架子连接”清单, 还有一份白皮书解释了一个强大的, 预测的新方法, 补充, 协作, 和S&OP.

现在的观点

聪明的需求

Achieve 30-45% reduction in days of supply inventory and greater than 99% store in stocks. 聪明的需求 uses a single integrated forecast that is enhanced and updated daily based on consumer sales. 好处包括减少库存(成本和供应天数), 增加产品上架的可用性, 增加销售, 更低的运输和劳动力成本.

现在的观点